US TARIFF FEARS ARE A LOT OF SPECULATIONS CREATED BY MARKET SPECULATORS AND PUBLIC MEDIA : FAR FROM REALITIES AND HEAVEN IS NOT GOING TO FALL AS BEING SPECULATED GLOBALLY
US TARIFF FEARS ARE A LOT OF SPECULATIONS CREATED BY MARKET SPECULATORS AND PUBLIC MEDIA : FAR FROM REALITIES AND HEAVEN IS NOT GOING TO FALL AS BEING SPECULATED GLOBALLY
Dear Readers,
The recent US Tariff Fears being created in the market are a lot of Speculations Created by Market Speculators and Public Media. it is Far from Realties and Heaven is not going to fall as being speculated globally.
However,
the Speculators and Media both have made the Global Stock Markets Dance
with Peak-Downs and Peak-Ups, that would have ruined a lot of small
investors world wide by now, who are always the sufferers under all
circumstances, as in the Ocean, it is the
Bigger Fishes and Sharks create lot of turmoil and ultimately it is the
smaller fishes who are always eaten up by the Bigger Fishes and Sharks.
Let us see it with very simple spectacles, I have said earlier, saying again without complicating our minds:
1. The Present Hon'ble US President ( the New President of USA
inaugurated on Jan 20, 2025) His Excellency Mr. Donald Trump and the
Now-Trump Administration of USA, wants to Revive and Boost the US Economy and Businesses with
their Slogan "MAGA" ( Make America Great Again ). It is very normal,
they will try to improve and better the Businesses and Economy of USA.
Anybody in their place will try to do that. To
achieve this, the Trump-Administration is trying to Re-Work the US
Tariff Structure as it exists USA vrs Other Countries of the World.
2. What is the meaning of Tariff in this Whole Game spread and talked out Globally ? It
is basically the Custom Import Duty on any Product (Goods or Services)
USA charges when Imported to USA, and on the counter of it, any Other
Country having trade relations with USA charges the Custom Import Duty
in that country when USA Goods/Services are Exported by USA (otherwise
Imported) to that Country, nothing else other than that.
3.
Over a period of time, what USA has observed is that; USA is
charging a very small percentage (%) of tariff on goods/services value
of imports to USA while the Prices of such Imported Goods coming to USA
remain affordable and get consumed in USA's large market, and their
Domestic Producers/Manufacturers for such imported products are badly
affected for their business and growth. On the other hand, the Export of
USA Goods and Services are facing barriers with Higher Tariff imposed
by importing countries of USA Good and Services, hence USA Goods and
Services are not finding enough markets for exports and its growth in
the World Markets, as cheaper alternatives offered by Other Countries
get consumed. This is very simple to understand by just applying some intelligence and more of common sense.
4.
Thus the Trump-Administration of USA in recent times, is trying to
Re-Negotiate and Re-Work Tariff Structure with their Trade-Partner
Countries (having import/export business with USA) around the World so
that the USA and their Trade Partner Countries work on mutually
acceptable tariffs facilitating healthy import/export with them, and not
leaving only the USA Goods and Services in disadvantage to cry and
remain ever squeezed.
5. The matter is very simple,
what USA is trying to re-work is that, their Trade Partner Countries
should be considerate and mindful of USA Goods and Services that can
have a reasonable tariff level to allow access to it with certain level
of ease, so that both sides benefit. They
do not want now, while USA will work like charitable kind of mindset
while their trade partners would work like extortion or squeezing
mindset while tariffs are concerned. All said and done Tariffs are basically Custom Import Duties, that are also National Revenue earning tools for each nation.
6. It is basically USA Trump-Administration of present times, intends
that their Trade Partner Countries should come to Negotiation Table
with USA and fix Tariffs from both sides on Mutually Acceptable basis,
not on Arbitrary basis either way. India is
one of the large Nations and Trade Partners of USA has already gone to
the Negotiation Table with USA, it is Work-in-Progress for India and USA
both, something concrete with a Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA)
expected to come to fruits mutually acceptable between India and USA by
end of year 2025, that is Best Expected.
The Trump Administration announced the First Cut Tariff announcements on 02-April-2025 as per their plan, it
is basically their first call and signal to their Trade Partner
Countries to come forward to the Negotiation Table with them to fix
mutually acceptable tariffs from both sides.
With some Hue and Cry Globally till yesterday for about a week, with most and Worst Speculations and Fear of Tariff War thrown in public media, the Stock Markets Globally got into turmoil unheard of. Yesterday the Trump Administration of USA declared
Pause of the Tariffs declared on 02-April-2025 for 90days to give some
rest to the Global Speculative Turmoil that was going on, primarily
to allow their Trade Partner Countries to make up their minds and come
to the Negotiation Table with USA within the said 90-days pause to work
out Mutually Acceptable Tariff Formulae with USA, fair enough.
7. In reality there is No Trade War in the World,
it is all in the minds of the Speculators and Public Media who are
magnifying it by unimaginable proportions unfairly, since it is being
USA vrs Rest of the Countries of the World who are Trade Partners to USA
it is being made out to look like a Global Turmoil, but
if it is looked pragmatically, applying some intelligence of mind and
applying lot of common sense it is nothing but USA is trying to do some
mutual adjustments in Tariffs on import/export with their Trade Partner
Countries, that is all in essence of it.
8.
By writing this note, on a fair and equity basis towards all of you
my readers and on a fair humanitarian considerations which I understand
and feel very much within myself, I am trying to brief you that there is
nothing to panic locally or globally with the so called "Tariff War" being projected and magnified in media unreasonably. I
do not know how many of you my readers, who would have already lost
your money in the stock market turmoil specifically after 2nd April 2025
till date, I am sure many of you as small investors would have lost by
"Margin Calls" or your stock value going unfavourably losing and causing
you pains that I can feel very much, though I have not even a Rupee (1-INR) transaction in Stock Markets in may be more last 10years, I was never in stock market in my life time, but I know the pains of All Small Investors, who only lose all the times in that Ocean like the small fishes.
10. Please
do not ever get carried away by the publications of so called Blasting of Tariff Wars you see and read in Media. Just Remain Composed taking
care of your own safety not getting eaten up by the speculators of the
markets in any way and getting eaten up by Bigger Fishes and Sharks
there.
I
am giving links of some publications here below you can have a look at
it but by that just try to understand how magnifying a simple is being
blown up by speculations, however as I said just don't get carried away
by all such sayings. What I said above are just the Simple Logic and
Realities that you can rely on, in some time, every
thing will get smoothen up and in the process may be USA will get a
better deal from their Trade Partners who will try to retain their
access to USA Market and give due and mutual access to USA Goods and
Services so that USA gets some comfort in the standing of its Domestic
Business of their local Producers/Manufacturers and Boosting up its
Exports to World Markets reasonably. It is going to rest there and no
where.
Donald Trump presses 90day pause button on reciprocal tariffs on most nations, but raises tariffs on China
Trump Tariffs Wiped $10 Trillion From Stock Markets. It's 50% Of EU Economy
Asian stocks jump after US Market hit record highs after tariff pause: 10things to know
You
can see the kind of Highs and Lows in the Stock Markets happened in
just 1-week in between, with such unheard of lows and high peaks (even
unimaginable, engineered by very high level of speculations relating to
Tariffs globally) in stock market behaviours due to excessive
speculation and people getting tempted and lured by that, it is the
small investors get wiped away always and go crying and losing their
hard earned resources (they will never say that to anyone and will keep crying within themselves only), as I said the small fishes in the Ocean getting always eaten by the Bigger Fishes and Sharks.
Rely
on me what I said above, I will never mislead or misguide you my
readers, rely on the facts, not fictions and imaginary war and
conjectures; there can not be such tariff war to the perils of the
World, it is just transient gestures for mutual readjustments for doing
business among the nations.
Wrote
this Note in your interests in mind as always. I have nothing to do with stock markets any where for sure. I wish all your well being and wishing
you all well.
With Best regards,
Dr. Nimain Charan Biswal,
Mumbai, India
About the Author : Dr. Nimain Charan Biswal is a B.Sc.(Agri. Science and
Technology), M.B.A. and Ph.D.(Management Area ) by qualifications; and he has
39+ years of work experience in Social, both industrial and Development sectors
in diversified fields of Social Importance. He has been educated at Orissa
University of Agriculture and Technology (OUAT)-Bhubaneswar, Institute of Rural
Management Anand (IRMA) and Gujarat University (with Resource Support of
IIM-Ahmedabad). He is further educated at IIM-Calcutta, XLRI-Jamshedpur, Apple
Computer Industries and Spar Inc., USA. He has worked for reputed National and
International Organizations in Senior/Top Management Capacities at Board level
as well as Managing Director and CEO. He is a management expert covering
extensive areas from management in Social, industrial sectors, management in
Agriculture and Dairy, Development Management to management of public systems.
He is a prominent professional of India and known Internationally as well. He
is also a Political Strategist. He lives at Mumbai in India.
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